Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.122391 1.347477 1.585385 1.853743 2.146283 2.453918 2.800319
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.813170 1.120395 1.468416 1.883977 2.359535 2.880481 3.488296
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.638531 0.980014 1.387336 1.893106 2.490260 3.160871 3.959646
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.473466 0.822829 1.263878 1.833915 2.527689 3.325076 4.292732
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.350957 0.696197 1.157779 1.777286 2.552023 3.460426 4.580142
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.264396 0.602406 1.080794 1.745663 2.597315 3.613092 4.881561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.214825 0.553836 1.057337 1.776818 2.715496 3.849390 5.278877
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.168920 0.501489 1.021922 1.787031 2.803506 4.046539 5.627826
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.122590 0.436861 0.960882 1.756581 2.834933 4.171082 5.887067
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.111410 0.436670 0.996262 1.858940 3.038697 4.509107 6.405470
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.101987 0.437957 1.032961 1.962752 3.244464 4.850144 6.928500
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096751 0.447181 1.081967 2.084178 3.473977 5.221688 7.489953
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.086622 0.446085 1.118431 2.195098 3.700295 5.602826 8.080902
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067480 0.417911 1.108064 2.237683 3.836346 5.872495 8.538734
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047924 0.379705 1.075810 2.244376 3.921108 6.074833 8.911523
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026545 0.320817 0.999759 2.180310 3.905878 6.147169 9.121663
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012319 0.268740 0.928141 2.117341 3.887919 6.212803 9.320831
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004901 0.230810 0.877470 2.082537 3.905571 6.321464 9.570921
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002262 0.215273 0.870564 2.116923 4.020720 6.557534 9.981967
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000520 0.195004 0.850585 2.128227 4.101861 6.748385 10.335653
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.165730 0.805408 2.094567 4.116097 6.849446 10.574338
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.172486 0.846131 2.207601 4.345186 7.237431 11.180589
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.179418 0.887444 2.321980 4.576745 7.629366 11.792776